In the post-crisis, the resumption of consumption is unequal

Anyway the Brazil starts to come out of the recession. In a recent report released by the Central Bank, the brazilian economy grew up in 2017 enough to get out of recession. The figures indicated an increase of 1.04% in comparison to 2016. According to recent study by the consulting firm trends, recently published by Exame Magazine, Brazil is expected to grow 2.8% of GDP in 2018. But, unfortunately, not all States of the Federation can say this. "In fact, regional differences highlight those that offer more favourable environment for investments and where private capital is more important, those who depend on public sector more in your economy," says Marcos Hirai is Managing Director of GS & BGH Retail Real Estate. This study shows that only one third of the States will be able to recover fully until the end of the year, the accumulated losses from 2014. But some States are aggravated due to the collapse of its principal movers of the past. Cases like Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul and Pernambuco are more complex examples. "In the case of Rio, a tragic combination of factors, ranging from the high investments for the Olympic Games, an unprecedented political crisis, the lack of control of public expenditure and the misfortunes of corruption suffered by Petrobras led to bankruptcy of the State, "says Hirai. For retailers, the crisis of public security, as empowered by thefts of loads (were 10,599 records last year) and the high rates of unemployment (90000 openings were closed in 2017 – in the last three years, the State has lost 513,700 jobs) scared and postpone plans for new stores. Only last year, about 8,000 stores closed in the State. As a result, few networks predict opening of new units in the State. The Rio Grande do Sul was the third State that more closed slots. 8,173 jobs were closed last year. With a deficit of $6.9 billion planned for R 2018 on State budget and 25 consecutive months of delay in the payment of State servers. But is the State of Pernambuco that is further to regain the levels of GDP before the crisis. Without the help of the federal Government – were R $36 billion injected by the BNDES between 2008 to 2014 – the State is looking for a new alternative to re-grow. To understand the size of the hole, between 2015 and 2017, almost 141,000 jobs were closed in the State. Today, Brazil has the highest unemployment rate in the country, almost 18%. "On the other hand, there are States that live the other end-up growth of country's economy. States such as Santa Catarina (growth of 4.3% last year), Pará (4%), Amazonas (3.1%) and Paraná (2.6%) are some examples which go very well, thank you. Santa Catarina, who heads the list, has the lowest unemployment rate of Brazil (6.7%), the largest growth in retail sales (13.5% in 12 months) and the greater advancement of economic activity in 2017. Considering the analysis of consumption, however, restricted retailers closed 2017 with real growth of 2.0%, the first positive result after two years of shrinkage, the IBGE, "explains the expert. Sales of the "expanded retail" (which adds to the restricted the retail wholesale and retail of construction materials, vehicles, motorcycles, parts and pieces) point out that December 2017, compared to the previous year, had a real growth of 6.4%. Quite a number animator and promising. In this direction, 2018 points to retailers who, even in crisis, some States are already sketching growth in consumption, taking off his own economic realities that lie.