Friday, September 25, 2015

See international market mills as output

In an opposite movement of other commodities, which have increased revenue by the high dollar, wheat feels the damage by being dependent on imports. Pressured by the advancement in production costs, the mills want to grow exports of cereal derivatives to close the account.
The assessment was given yesterday (24) by the President of the Brazilian Wheat Industry Association (Abitrigo), Sergio Amaral. "The major concern of the moment is the devaluation of the real," emphasizes. In addition, the economic scenario has collaborated for the fall estimated between 2.5% and 3% in annual domestic consumption of wheat and approximately 1.3%, the by-products of cereal (cookies, pasta, etc.).
Thus, the strategy becomes the international market. "The export of derivatives can somehow compensate for the downturn in domestic consumption. Maybe the flour is not possible, but the derivatives do. That's what we want, "designs.
Information of the Associação Brasileira das Indústrias de Biscuits, pasta and breads & Cakes (Abimapi) show that Industrialized, since 2010, there was no strong fluctuation in the volume of export of cookies, for example, which closed 1.22 million tonnes in 2014, behind China, USA and India. However, revenue was growing, with $ 8,02 billion last year, up from the $ 7,39 billion in 2013 and $ 6.71 billion from the previous year.
In Brazil, the cookie consumption was around exports and closed 2014 with 1.7 million tons.
Adverse market
"Wheat derivatives would not have a different performance of the economy. Even if you fall the demand for flour, [the fall] is still lower than that of other items in the basket ", says the Executive. As a result, the grind should have a proportional to the decrease in consumption.
Although 50% of the composition of the market through imported wheat, this reduction in the operations of the mills made in the year to August, Brazilian commodity purchases add 3.3 million tons, down about 20 percent compared with the same period last year.
For 2015, the expectation of the Association is imported five million tons of wheat, retraction of 13.5% over the total of 2014.
Amaral cited high energy prices as one of the main bottlenecks in disbursement of the industry. "We have no way of holding, the cost has to be passed on to the final product," admits the President, without revealing the values of this increase in flour.
In farming, the last given by the national supply company (Conab) appointed in September estimated a crop of seven million tonnes in 2015, an increase of just over one million tons compared with last year.
According to Amaral, the current number of Conab still does not measure the impact of the rains in the South, but he believes that if the production of six million tons will not be "nothing off the charts" in the industry, that is, not to bring large impacts.
Only in the State of Paraná-largest State producer of culture-the damage estimated by the Department of Rural Economy (Overall) of the State Department of Agriculture is 10% reduction in the crop to harvest of 3.6 million tons, against initial estimates of 4 million tons, which would be a record. "It was expected that the yields of crops harvested in September were better than those harvested in August, however, this is not confirmed," evaluates the Overall.
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